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 Post subject: Arch Madness Projections
PostPosted: Sat Jan 25, 2014 11:33 am 
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That other board posted this info. I found something to be interesting. While we are projected last, we actually have the 4th best margin between points for and points against. We're one of only 4 teams to be in the positive (ISUred is neutral at 0.0). That seems to be at least somewhat promising...like we shouldn't be as low as we are currently.

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PostPosted: Sat Jan 25, 2014 12:51 pm 
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Those NC SOS's are horrid. I believe the emphasis is supposed to keep it under 150. Major fail by almost every team.

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PostPosted: Sat Jan 25, 2014 1:04 pm 
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SubGod22 wrote:
Those NC SOS's are horrid. I believe the emphasis is supposed to keep it under 150. Major fail by almost every team.


I know what our excuse is...what about the rest of the conference?

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PostPosted: Sat Jan 25, 2014 2:59 pm 
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We're going to have to win a road game if we want to have a tiebreaker. That's all there is to it. Right now we have a head to head tiebreaker over Drake and Missouri State, but that disappears if we lose at their place. I still haven't quite figured out the "mini round robin" tiebreaker between multiple teams (maybe SubGod22 can explain it with an example), but if it comes down to a two team tie, our strength of schedule and what that means for our RPI will sink us.

I hope that someone in the athletic department is working on the scheduling for next year right now, and not waiting until the season is over. We always seem to be scrambling at the last minute to fill out our schedule, and because of that we're stuck with a lot of bad choices.


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PostPosted: Sat Jan 25, 2014 3:08 pm 
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GoRamblers wrote:
SubGod22 wrote:
Those NC SOS's are horrid. I believe the emphasis is supposed to keep it under 150. Major fail by almost every team.


I know what our excuse is...what about the rest of the conference?

I have no idea. We knew when you were added that this year and next would be tough for you guys due to advanced scheduling. I'm not going to be overly critical of that for a couple of years. But the others? Especially the Trees, I have no idea. I understand a team like SIU having a weaker schedule as Hinson is trying to rebuild a program. A couple I can tolerate since they're under 200 and I think the mandate is supposed to start next year to allow teams to try to beef up schedules. So at least some of them are relatively close to the 150 mark.

I didn't expect to see those numbers though as a whole and it really caught me off guard.

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PostPosted: Sat Jan 25, 2014 3:10 pm 
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Rambler63 wrote:
We're going to have to win a road game if we want to have a tiebreaker. That's all there is to it. Right now we have a head to head tiebreaker over Drake and Missouri State, but that disappears if we lose at their place. I still haven't quite figured out the "mini round robin" tiebreaker between multiple teams (maybe SubGod22 can explain it with an example), but if it comes down to a two team tie, our strength of schedule and what that means for our RPI will sink us.

I hope that someone in the athletic department is working on the scheduling for next year right now, and not waiting until the season is over. We always seem to be scrambling at the last minute to fill out our schedule, and because of that we're stuck with a lot of bad choices.
I'm not entirely sure. Unless one team has the obvious advantage over the others, I'm as confused as you. Before the SOS emphasis, they assigned a "point" to each teams finish so those that had a better record against higher seeded teams got the advantage. That was replaced by NC SOS. What is done before that when more than 2 are tied is something I can't answer.

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