goramblers2011 wrote:
W/r/t bids, A10 and MVC are in a somewhat similar position this year. If Drake didn't win yesterday, they'd be a bubble team. Since they won, the MVC is a one-bid league. If VCU doesn't win the A10 tourney, they'd be a bubble team. If VCU wins, A10 is very likely a one-bid league.
I think it says a lot about the current state of affairs in college basketball when a 29-4 MVC team (assuming they lost yesterday) and a 26-7 A10 team (assuming we beat VCU in semis), both with solid metric, are bubble teams. Years ago, they'd be locks. It's so difficult to get an at-large nowadays outside the power conferences. Even in the "premier" mid-majors.
The current state of affairs in college basketball is just depressing. What would get you a 5-8 seed as a mid-major 10-20 years ago puts you on the bubble today.
If you take the top 10-15 mid-majors this year and compare their RPI and NET, you’ll notice the vast majority of them have a way better RPI than NET. I have a hard time believing NET wasn’t installed to cook the numbers for P5 schools.
My suspicion is the goal is to eventually lock up all at-large selections to 5-6 conferences with a bone or two thrown to teams outside that group. I don’t trust the networks or P5 ADs at all.