Monday, Dec. 21, 2015 7:00 p.m.
Gentile Arena, Chicago
Coach Billy Wright began his second season as head coach at Western Illinois by knocking off future Hall of Famer Bo Ryan’s Wisconsin team in Madison. The unexpected early season success for the Leathernecks also includes 20-plus point blowouts of Eastern Illinois and UIC, plus thrashings to three non-D1 foes. Their only three losses have come at Creighton, at Iowa, and by seven points on Saturday at Chicago State. Wright played under Jim Molinari at Bradley in the 1990s and understudied as an assistant under Molinari at Western for 5 years, yet he has his team playing a more up-tempo, higher-scoring style than his mentor was known for.
The Leathernecks start three guards who play heavy minutes and do the bulk of the scoring. Six-foot-five junior Garrett Covington averages 16.9 points and 6’4” senior J.C. Fuller averages 16.2 points per game. They are a two-headed monster that shoots well inside and outside the arc, lead the team in made threes with more than 20 apiece, shoot over 45% on their three-bombs, and get to the free throw line often-- where both connect at over 80%. Fuller happens to also be the team leader in rebounds at 5.3 per game, and Covington adds 3.8 boards per game. Jabari Sandifer, a 6’1” junior point guard leads the team in assists with 5.6 per game, leads in steals at 1.7 per game, drops in 9.2 points per game, and averages an astounding-for-his-height 4.9 rebounds per contest. All three members of the WIU backcourt average over 30 minutes per game, and all three have assist to turnover ratios better than 1.4 (translation: they pass really well and take excellent care of the ball).
Starting in the frontcourt are 6’9” senior forward Tate Stensgaard and 6’11” freshman center Brandon Gilbeck. Stensgaard is sure-handed, pulling down 5.1 rebounds per game and adding an average of 6.6 points on 67% shooting from the floor. He doesn’t shoot too often (only 36 field goal attempts), but when he shoots from the field or the free throw line, he usually makes good. Gilbeck—did I mention he’s 6’11”?-- is learning to play at the college level, chipping in 2.9 points and collecting 4.1 rebounds in an average of almost 16 minutes per game.
Coach Wright’s bench goes 5 deep past the starters. Six-seven senior forward Jalen Chapman, 6’8” freshman forward Jalen Morgan, 6’4” guard Jamie Batish, 6’6” sophomore guard/forward Dalan Ancrum, and 6’6” junior forward Mike Miklusak all play double-digit minutes on average and chip in between 5.2 and 3.3 points per game.
Western has had a great start to the season, and their RPI is 107 as of Sunday. Chicago State just beat the Leathernecks by on Saturday by hitting 50% of their threes and getting to the free throw line 20 times more than WIU. Iowa demolished the 'Necks by 34 points by out-rebounding, forcing 16 turnovers, limiting the Leathernecks to 27% on threes, and allowing only seven free throws. Creighton beat them by 30 points by taking care of the ball (only four turnovers), getting to the line 21 more times, and getting 19 offensive rebounds leading to 21 second chance points. Eastern Illinois lost by 20 the first time they played at Eastern, but only lost by seven points in Macomb by controlling tempo and outscoring them in the paint.
The Leathernecks play better at a faster tempo, so Loyola should control the tempo and make Western’s high scoring, heavy-minute players work on offense and defense. (All three of their starting guards played 38 minutes or more in Saturday’s loss at Chicago State). Shot selection is also extremely important against Western; they’re 7-0 when holding their opponents below 40% shooting from the field, and 0-3 when opponents shoot over 40%. Another key is keeping the Leathernecks off the free throw line. They shoot 72% as a team from the line, and they’re 7-0 in games when they attempt 12 or more free throws, but 0-3 in games where they attempt fewer than 12. (They average 23.4 free throw attempts in their wins, but only 7.3 in their losses). And finally, limiting turnovers are a big key, as WIU’s opponents committed between two and five fewer turnovers in each of the three wins against them.
Loyola game notes:
http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools/loy ... 220aaa.pdfWestern Illinois game notes: Pending
TV/Streaming video: ESPN3 (
http://espn.go.com/watchespn/index/_/id ... olachicago)
Vegas odds: Loyola by 5.5