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Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
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Author:  ahunte1 [ Wed Feb 11, 2015 2:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
A great post over at Panther Nation: http://www.panthernation.com/showthread.php?t=62491

Using weighted scenarios for who wins every remaining game, we have a 59% chance at the 6-seed, and a 20% chance of being the 7-seed.
Author:  ahunte1 [ Wed Feb 11, 2015 3:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities




Is there an echo in here!??!? ;)
Author:  JCT [ Wed Feb 11, 2015 3:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Here's another site with seeding predictions: http://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basket ... rojections

Don't know if they go the extra step to factor the tiebreakers (head to head, SOS) like the UNI site.
Author:  goramblers2011 [ Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Updated today. The weighted scenario has our chances as:

4th: 1%
5th: 6%
6th: 76%
7th: 15%
8th: 2%

http://www.mvcfans.com/wp/
Author:  ahunte1 [ Mon Feb 16, 2015 2:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Seems like it's all dependent on winning our game at Drake. Not the easiest road, but it's doable.
Author:  goramblers2011 [ Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
ahunte1 wrote:
Seems like it's all dependent on winning our game at Drake. Not the easiest road, but it's doable.


Crazy that that simulation gives us a better chance at winning vs UNI than @ISUr.
Author:  ahunte1 [ Mon Feb 16, 2015 3:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
goramblers2011 wrote:
ahunte1 wrote:
Seems like it's all dependent on winning our game at Drake. Not the easiest road, but it's doable.


Crazy that that simulation gives us a better chance at winning vs UNI than @ISUr.


I know. That makes me nervous about the whole thing!
Author:  swellafelon [ Mon Feb 16, 2015 4:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
ahunte1 wrote:
Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities


Or as Bruce Rauner would say "Arch Madness Seedin' Chances".
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