Saturday, March 07, 2015 4:00 p.m.
Scottrade Center, St. Louis
The Ramblers made a statement about belonging in the MVC Friday night, when they demolished the Indiana State Sycamores 81-53 to set an Arch Madness record for the largest margin of victory in the 25 years of the tournament in St. Louis. They did it as an underdog, against a team they’d never defeated since joining the league, in front of a mostly Loyola crowd on the MVC main stage. Next up for Loyola are the #11 UNI Panthers, who defeated Bradley 71-46 behind a dominating second half on Friday afternoon.
Loyola played UNI tough in a loss at Cedar Falls before being outclassed in Chicago without Milton Doyle. But as Indiana State witnessed, this is a different Loyola team from earlier in the year. The Panthers are more experienced—from their exceptional head coach down to their very deep bench. Yet they’ve shown some vulnerability at times in their last two games. To add another interesting wrinkle, UNI has had problems at Arch Madness recently, having compiled a 1-4 record in MVC tournaments since they won it all in 2010. Loyola now stands at 2-1 in less than two full years in the league.
No one would expect Northern Iowa to falter with a chance to face the #8 Shockers in the title game. Yet after the Ramblers’ last three gritty performances and the Panthers’ sluggishness in their game at WSU and in the first half against Bradley, the door for a Rambler upset is slightly ajar.
On just about every metric, UNI has the clear advantage. They’re experienced, tested, well-coached, and very deep off the bench. Loyola’s only hope of staging an upset is playing the kind of energetic, help defense they played against Indiana State, and hope that the shots go down with as much regularity. And Loyola won’t “sneak up” on the Panthers like they did against Indiana State—the Ramblers will have to execute with near perfection to keep the game within striking distance at the end. UNI is playing for a 4th or 5th seed in the NCAA Tournament and a chance to meet Wichita State for a definitive matchup deciding the champions of the MVC. Loyola has lesser expectations, and is playing to extend a very good season that was sidetracked by injuries. But if it comes down to the later minutes of the game, the Ramblers might be able to dig a little deeper.
Saturday’s game will be Loyola’s first trip to a conference semi-final since 2007, and their first season facing a sixth ranked team since 1978. A win would give LU their first 20-win season since 2007 and (most likely) a shot at playing a seventh ranked team in a season on national broadcast television. With 19 overall wins, 8 conference regular season wins, a 119 RPI, and an impressive conference tournament win, snapping the 30-year postseason tournament drought is probably already secured if Loyola will take it.
Loyola game notes:
http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools/loy ... 307aaa.pdfNorthern Iowa game notes:
https://www.nmnathletics.com//pdf9/3255 ... M_ID=26200TV: Comcast Sports Net, Fox Sports Midwest, ESPN3 (outside viewing area)
Vegas odds: Northern Iowa by 10