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| Model of Consistency https://www.ramblermania.net:443/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=3092 |
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| Author: | jmiller2794 [ Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:14 pm ] | ||
| Post subject: | Model of Consistency | ||
On the Bart Torvik website I found a tool where you can compare the tournament results of teams with similar efficiency profiles as your team. The closest team to this year's squad is the 2012 Bilikins, Majerus' last year coaching. The second closest team is the 2018 final four team. Pretty remarkable.
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| Author: | swellafelon [ Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:04 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Model of Consistency |
Interesting that teams that are statistically similar have such a wide range in Tournament seedings, from Florida's #1 to Vermont's #13. Assuming we get in this year, I hope and pray we get a favorable seed. Eight or nine would be the worst, as the winner of the 8 versus 9 opening round game faces the #1 seed in Round 2, barring a Virginia-like miracle upset. Best realistic seed would be #5, but that is a bit of a stretch. I'd be satisfied with a 6 and would grudgingly accept a 7. Alternatively, it would also be advantageous if we were grossly underestimated and got an #11 or 12 seed. (Might need a loss in the regular season for this to happen). Winning our first round game as either of those seeds positions ourself well for the following rounds. I'm sure we'll have a Bracketology thread once it becomes clear we're tourney- bound. |
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| Author: | teandaft [ Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:44 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Model of Consistency |
any idea on a sensible over under here? been averaging around 70 recently https://www.sportsbetting3.com/ncaabb/m ... s-analysis been looking at this and consistency here seems to be key! |
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| Author: | AMDG [ Thu Feb 11, 2021 1:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Model of Consistency |
swellafelon wrote: Interesting that teams that are statistically similar have such a wide range in Tournament seedings, from Florida's #1 to Vermont's #13. Assuming we get in this year, I hope and pray we get a favorable seed. Eight or nine would be the worst, as the winner of the 8 versus 9 opening round game faces the #1 seed in Round 2, barring a Virginia-like miracle upset. Best realistic seed would be #5, but that is a bit of a stretch. I'd be satisfied with a 6 and would grudgingly accept a 7. Alternatively, it would also be advantageous if we were grossly underestimated and got an #11 or 12 seed. (Might need a loss in the regular season for this to happen). Winning our first round game as either of those seeds positions ourself well for the following rounds. I'm sure we'll have a Bracketology thread once it becomes clear we're tourney- bound. The bracket guy at CBS had us as a #12 this week playing against Oklahoma State as a #5. I think both of those seedings are misguided |
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