Saturday, February 7, 2015 3:00 p.m.
Gentile Arena, Chicago
Just two Saturdays ago, the Indiana State Sycamores shot the lights out at the Hulman Center against the Ramblers-- especially in the first half, when the Trees shot 64% from the field and 75% from distance to build a 13-point lead at halftime. Devonte Brown had a career high 24 points as he buried six of the Sycamores’ 12 three pointers. The ISU win put an end to their brief two-game losing streak, but after beginning the conference season at 5-0, the Trees have managed only one win besides their win over the Ramblers in their past six outings, and have lost their last three road contests. After shooting 53% from the field against Loyola, the Sycamores shot 43, 39, and 37% in their three games since.
The Ramblers have fought hard over the past several games despite injuries to Milton Doyle and Christian Thomas, and despite being shorthanded have shown increasing poise. Loyola cut a 15-point deficit to Illinois State down to one before losing by three-- no thanks to 12 missed free throws-- and without their two top scorers and after allowing a 15-point lead to evaporate their last time out at Missouri State, Loyola managed to even their road record at 5-5 by gutting out a 53-50 win. Montel James scored 18 points in the last meeting with Indiana State, part of a six game stretch in which he’s averaged 13.2 points per game on 54% field goal shooting. Earl Peterson also seems to have recovered from his turf toe problems and had a great game at MSU with 12 points, 3 assists, a block, and nary a turnover. And Ben Richardson is coming off a career high 12 points and 24 minutes last time out.
Blue ISU is likely to have the same starting lineup they had against the Ramblers two weeks ago: Jake Kitchell and Justin Gant in the frontcourt; and Brown, Smith and Scott at guard. In their six games since starting 5-0 in conference—in which ISU is only 2-4-- Kitchell and Smith have been slumping offensively, averaging 4.8 and 6.7 points respectively. They’re also taking more three point shots than during their winning streak—an average of 17.8 attempts in their first five conference games, 23.8 per game since.
Through 11 conference games thus far, Indiana State is tops in the conference in offense (67.8 ppg) and last (67.0 ppg) in defense; Loyola ranks 7th on offense and 5th on defense. The Ramblers are last in free throw percentage and free throws attempted. Indiana State and Loyola rank 1st and 2nd respectively in three point shooting percentage, but the Ramblers are second in three point field goal defense while Indiana State ranks last.
Both the stats and their previous meeting indicates that three point shooting has a potential to make a big difference in this matchup. The way the Ramblers play defense and have the ability to control the tempo of the game, Loyola needs to defend well outside and cut off the interior passing lanes while taking advantage of ISU’s weak perimeter shooting defense. It would also help quite a bit if Loyola could get some points on the board from the free throw line: In the 10 games from the UTSA game through the Bradley game, the Ramblers were 9-1 while averaging 21 trips to the line per game and shooting 74.3%; in the 10 games since, they’re 3-7 while averaging only 10.2 free throw attempts and shooting 68.6%. Getting to the line and making the free throws is the difference between winning and losing for defensive-minded teams with a rebounding weakness, and that was one of the keys that is now missing from the Ramblers' game.
Loyola game notes:
http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools/loy ... 206aaa.pdfIndiana State game notes:
http://www.gosycamores.com/pdf9/3168913 ... M_ID=15200TV/Streaming Video/Audio: Comcast Sports Net, Ramblervision Audio(
http://www.loyolaramblers.com/collegesp ... dia=474640)
Vegas odds: Ramblers by 3