Tuesday, December 3, 2019 6:00 p.m.
Worthen Arena, Muncie, Ind.
Around this time last year, Ball State came to the Gentile Center and handed Loyola a somewhat surprising 75-69 loss. It was one of only 15 games last season in which Loyola shot under 50% from the field, all but two of them losses. Ball State held Loyola to six of 22 shooting from behind the arc, and held the Ramblers to "only" 53% inside the arc.
Loyola tips off again in early December against the Ball State Cardinals Tuesday night in Muncie. The two teams are ranked closely to each other by KenPom.com, who has the Ramblers at 116 and Ball State at 121. The 4-3 Cardinals have looked good and bad this season, and so have the 4-4 Ramblers. Ball State beat UIC by 19 points, holding the Flames to only 48 points in their own building. Ball State beat Indiana State convincingly in Terre Haute, and lost by two points to Horizon favorite Northern Kentucky and by four points at Evansville. In their last outing they lost to woeful Western Illinois... at home... by seven points.
Ball State will likely start 6'8" senior forward Tahjai Teague, 6'0" senior guard Josh Thompson, 6'5" freshman guard Jarron Coleman, 6'7" senior forward Kyle Mallers, and 6'1" junior guard Ishmael El-Amin (yes, he's the son of former Chicago Bull and UConn point guard Khalid El-Amin). Three BSU starters average in double figures, with Teague leading the way at 15.0 per game. El-Amin averages 13.9, Mallers averages 13.0, and Walton averages 10.6. Both El-Amin and Mallers are killer three-point shooters, hitting on 46.2% and 55% of their long distance shots, respectively. Thompson, the fifth starter, is more of a playmaker who leads the team in assists with 3.7 assists per game in less than 22 minutes average.
As we saw last season, Ball State likes to move a lot on offense, and likes to shoot rather quickly in the shot clock. Although it seems like they want to play fast (and maybe they do), they are more effective when the pace is more deliberate. BSU is 3-0 when the pace is played in the 60s, and 0-3 against D1 competition when the pace is in the 70s. The Cardinals are really good at defending two-point shots (Loyola's overwhelming strength) and weak at defending against the three (Loyola's overwhelming weakness). But what the Cardinals are worst at is shooting free throws-- they're 352nd among the 354 Division I teams at the line, only 53.3%. Putting them on the line might be good strategy in certain situations, especially Teague (51.6%) , Coleman (45.5%) and Thompson (37.5%).
Leading scorer Tahjai Teague is also somewhat foul prone; he's had four or more fouls in four of BSU's six games against D1 teams. Ball State is #1 in the country at continuing to play starters who get their second foul in the first half (mostly Teague), and when Teague fouls out, BSU is 0-2. Jus' sayin'.
Ball State hasn't been very good at home, only 2-2, with their two wins coming against Division III Defiance College and Howard University. Their home losses have come against Northern Kentucky and Western Illinois. Meanwhile, the Ramblers have struggled away from home.
In almost every department this game shapes up to be a contest of which team will impose their will on the other, which team powers takes advantage of weaknesses of the other, and which team controls the pace of play.
Loyola game notes: https://loyolaramblers.com/documents/20 ... 2_3_19.pdfBall State game notes: https://ballstatesports.com/documents/2 ... 2_3_19.pdfTV/Streaming Video: ESPN+
https://www.espn.com/watch?id=cf146300- ... tate-US-ENLive audio feed: https://loyolaramblers.com/watch/?Live=10&type=LiveLive stats: https://ballstatesports.com/sidearmstats/mbball/summaryVegas odds: Ball State by 2