JCT wrote:
If I were ranking the top 5 right now, it would be WSU, UE, UNI, ISUr, and Loyola. You've got to figure WSU is going to win 15 or 16 league games again, and 13 wins probably gets 2nd place. UE and UNI most likely go 8-1 or 7-2 at home, and whoever does better on the road gets 2nd-- I'd go with UE because of their experience. Loyola and ISUr are probably going to be 7-2 or 6-3 at home (Loyola was only 4-5 in conference at home last year, but got road wins at Drake, Bradley, Missouri State, and Evansville).
For Loyola to move up, I think the key will be Ingram; he's got to replace a lot of the high percentage shooting by Thomas inside. Thomas shot 58% on the second most two point attempts on the team. A lot of his shots were muscling up using good footwork in traffic under the basket, and Ingram has to be able to add some strenth to be able to do that. He also needs to get his free throw percentage over 70%. And of course, staying out of injury problems is a must, especially for a team that's smaller in a very physical league.
I think UNI is going to struggle with the heavy losses they have this year. They need to replace a lot of points and rebounds.
Replacing Thomas will be difficult. The good thing is the additions mean that Ingram and Knuth will not be playing the 5 like last season. If Ingram, Knuth and Rajala can add some muscle, it will really help out. Both Ingram and Knuth are stretch 4's much like Buss with UNI. That will leave move room for James, Kirby and maybe Rajala.
Both Ingram and Knuth can handle the ball well and can blow by a bigger 4 that comes out to contest the three.