Last night before the game, the broadcasters showed a graphic with Adarius Avery listed as day to day on his availability. With Richardson sidelined until late December at least, and Satterwhite getting put in the doghouse, we only had eight players in the game. As a result, Townes, Custer, Ingram, and Krutwig (!) each played more than 32 minutes. Jackson and Negron had foul problems. Skokna and Williamson played 23 minutes each.
I know these guys are young and in the prime shape of their lives, but in my opinion, having players go more than 32 minutes game after game after game catches up with you at the end of the season. It's like letting a starting pitcher make 120 pitches a game for five starts in a row.
If you look at the game logs for some of the players last year, like Custer and Ingram especially, they played super-heavy minutes through the middle of the season, and their performance dropped off on the last third of the conference season. Most games last year, there were four players playing 33, 35, 37 minutes or more. Ingram, who missed the first half of December with an injury, lasted a little longer than the others until he ran out of gas. But in his last four games, he had only one game where he shot more than 42% from the field after averaging over 53% in his first 25 games.
It didn't help that there was a double overtime game right in the middle of the season-- at UNI-- where Ingram played 45 minutes and Doyle, Custer, and Richardson played 44. Then two weeks later, another crucial OT road game, also a loss, at Missouri State. Ingram, Custer and Doyle each played 40 or more minutes in that one, while only Alize Johnson played more than 37 minutes for the Bears. That Missouri State game was the beginning of the stretch to end the season where we lost 7 of the last 9 games, with four of those losses by two points or less.
If you take a look at the three games last year where Donte Ingram was injured and did not play, the main beneficiaries of that time were Vlatko Granic and Tyson Smith. But after the conference season started, those two were rarely seen. Loyola played eight to ten players in those three games, but some of the players (like Cameron Woodyard) played less than a full minute. Maurice Kirby got a DNP against Wright State. So we were limited by strategy, circumstances, injury AND disciplinary measures.
I'm afraid that the Mississippi Valley State game shows us going down a similar path that caught up to us last season. We only had eight players see any time in the game last night. We had a 17-point lead with 1:09 left. Custer was subbed back into the game on an offensive/defensive sub when we had the ball with :34 left and us up by 13. I would have thought Williamson, Negron, Skokna, DiNardi, and Baughman could have handled it for the final minute against a team that wasn't pressing and stayed in the game longer than expected mostly on the basis of offensive rebounding. And if the issue is worry about the outcome of the game, that could be handled by building a bigger cushion earlier-- a method that me and my blood pressure prefer.
I hope we will get to see Avery play, and I hope it's before Ben Richardson comes back. And I hope that Cam Satterwhite can get back on the court soon, because we're currently thinner than we were last year at this time if he's going to be in the doghouse.
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