Friday, November 24, 2017 4:00 p.m.
Savannah Civic Center, Savannah, Ga.
UNCW won the Colonial Athletic Association regular season crown for the past two years, but the Seahawks were tabbed for fifth in the Colonial this year. Coach Kevin Keatts, who guided UNCW to a 72-28 record over three years in Wilmington, was snatched up by the NC State Wolfpack in late March of this year. One of Keatts’ first acts at NC State was cancelling their scheduled game at Loyola. New UNCW head coach C.B McGrath played at Kansas from 1994-98 and has been a coaching protégé of North Carolina’s Roy Williams. McGrath followed Willams to UNC, and had been an assistant there since 2003.
The Seahawks return just one starter from last year’s 29-6 team, Devontae Cacok. The 6’7” junior forward led Division I in field goal percentage as a sophomore at 80% (Loyola’s Aundre Jackson was 4th in that category last year at 66.8%) and averaged 12.3 points and 9.8 rebounds per contest. Through three games so far this season, he’s averaging 19.7 and 16.7.
Filling out the rest of UNCW’s starting lineup are forward Marcus Bryan, and guards Jordon Talley, Jaylen Fornes, and Ty Taylor. Bryan is a 6’7” senior forward who averages 5.0 points and 8.0 rebounds; he is particularly good on the offensive glass. Talley is a 6’0” senior averaging 18.3 points and 10.3 assists per game in the early going—including double doubles in those categories in UNCW’s loss at Davidson and their home win against Campbell. Fornes, at 6’2’, and Taylor, at 6’3”, are sophomore guards who shoot primarily from outside and average about 13 points per game. Talley is the best free throw shooter, Fornes leads the team in steals, and Taylor is quick to defensive rebounds.
The top player off the bench is 6’5” freshman guard Jay Estimé, a high-scoring athlete out of suburban Atlanta who was ranked 87th in ESPN’s top 100 high school players last season. Three other guards, 6’4” senior Nick Powell, 5’10” junior Jacque Brown, and 6’4” freshman Jeffrey Gary see significant playing time and average 5.0 to 3.0 points per game. Junior guard JaQuel Richmond saw some significant time in the last game. Seven-footer Trey Kalina, a juco from Coffeyville, has only seen eight scoreless minutes on the year against D1 opposition.
Coach McGrath formally accepted the job at UNCW the day after North Carolina won the national championship, so he couldn’t play much of a role in selecting the personnel on his team. Expect to see four guards and a forward on the floor most of the time, probably not too dissimilar from the look the Ramblers sported in the 2015-16 season when Montel James was the tallest player seeing significant minutes. Offense has come easy, but defense has been a problem for the ‘hawks this year—Division I teams are averaging 96 points per game against UNCW, and even Division III North Carolina Wesleyan put up 81 points on the Seahawks. KenPom ranks UNCW 85th in offensive efficiency but 240th on defense.
Meanwhile, Loyola has been refining their balance between offense and defense, and adjusting personnel. Christian Negron has become available recently, seeing time in the games against Samford and Mississippi Valley State, but Ben Richardson will be out until at least late December with a broken hand. The shorthanded Ramblers will have to work hard on both sides of the court to get a win over UNCW. Expect players like Krutwig and Ingram to make a difference due to size and skill matchups; the Ramblers will have to be smart to contain UNCW’s speed, controlling tempo and preventing fast breaks. Loyola has been pretty good defending against threes, holding opponents to only 31.7%; they’ll have to keep it up against the Seahawks, who have shot 48.7% (19 for 39) from distance in their last two games.
Loyola game notes:
http://www.loyolaramblers.com/documents ... df?id=3737 UNCW game notes: Pending
TV/Streaming video: None
Live stats:
http://stats.statbroadcast.com/broadcast/?id=199087 Vegas odds: Loyola by 5.5