01grad wrote:
Newman104 wrote:
I think one thing to keep in mind with the offense is how games are being called in The Valley. Games like tonight have been the norm, though not to this extreme. Refs just aren't calling anything. Everything is super physical and teams are getting away with way more down low than we saw in the non-confrence schedule. That's playing a huge role in our offensive play.
As we get to Arch Madness and then to the tournament, games won't be officiated like this. We'll see a lot more games called like the Michigan State game was.
A perfect example of this is the simple "freedom of movement" foul. Where a defender gets called for a foul for restricting the movement of a ball carrier by putting their hand on them. It's seen as a ticky-tack foul, but it's one that refs usually call. The Valley refs don't call that. You can see how frustrated our guys get as they do everything they can to score and then get a layup only to be whacked and get nothing. They go for a steal and get shoved to the ground for a no call. Jump on a loose ball only for another guy to land right on top of them and no call. It's just impossible to get into a rhythm when you're getting battered and bruised for no reward.
As I said above, that won't be the case in higher profile games at Arch Madness and the NCAA Tournament. That's where you'll likely see a revival of our offensive efficiency. This team's blueprint is very similar to an NBA team. Drive and kick for an open 3, or drive and either get a layup or get to the line. The issue is that when this team drives right now it's entering a black hole because refs are swallowing their whistle. When the whistle come back out, usually late in games, you always see the efficiency come back.
Long story short, when the game stops being physical to the point of absurdity as we've seen in The Valley so far we'll be back to the team we saw early in the season.
That’s probably part of it. Although, the Missouri State game the refs were calling a foul if we sneezed on someone.
Most of it is just the fact that we can’t hit open shots right now, IMHO.
I think this is it. We just have multiple guys who are proven (to at least be respectable) shooters in horrendous slumps right now: Schwieger, Kennedy, Clemons...heck even Norris and Lucas tonight. I'd have to rewatch the game (which no sane person would do after that rock fight), but it seemed like we were getting decent looks, just like we have been lately. Shots just aren't falling. Now that's not to say we didn't have some bad offensive possessions today because we clearly did, but this team has proven to be able to shoot the rock and move the ball especially early in the season. When shots don't fall, there's a natural tendency as a basketball player to force, leading to some bad 1 on 1 possessions like we saw tonight.
All of this is to say that I think we are bound to even out shooting-wise sooner rather than later (please), and it's very encouraging to see us still winning games with our defense when we are shooting like crap. Once the shooting comes back (and it has to...it can't stay this bad), we should be in pretty dang good shape.