brot4britu wrote:
And now --step three--at worst an even record on the regular season at 15-15
An even record according to our record books, but it's not quite that simple.
The 2 non-D1 opponents won't count for our record when it comes to qualifying for a postseason tournament. One more win against Bradley, Drake, or Mo. St. would pull us to, at worst, a .500 regular season record versus D1 opponents (14-14). 2 wins would cement us at 15-13 going into Arch Madness, but 15-14 or 16-14 still might not be good enough for a C-tournament. LU needs to at least beat the 3 bottom feeders left on our schedule to a.) avoid Thursday, b.) avoid seeing WSU or UNI on Friday in a game we probably need to win, and c.) get in a realistic position to qualify for a postseason tournament.
The margin for error is not particularly large for us given our record and injury situation, and seeing games come down to the wire because we can't make free throws isn't very comforting. You can only win so many games shooting 50% from the charity stripe.