bgilmore06 wrote:
Rambler88 wrote:
All of the math and analysis is great, but if you look at the brackets - we want to avoid playing one of the top 8 teams in the country the first weekend, which means I would like to be avoid being a 7-10 seed. 5-6 are great, but I would be happy with an 11, 12 or 13. 7,8,9 and 10 teams have some loving parting gifts.
I may be in the minority here (and fair enough!), but as I told my friend ahunte1, I'd be excited if we got put in the 8/9 slot. Gives us what should be a really good first round matchup. Then, if we were to prevail there, we get to take a crack at a big boy who would never schedule us. If we want to become anything remotely like a regional Gonzaga, as has been mentioned around here a time or two, there's a long way to go and we've got to learn to tangle with the best. Would we lose? Most likely, yes (about 86% chance of an L, according to my NCAA research). But every few years you do see a #1 seed go down in RD32. And even if we we are the ones who go down, just showing well in that kind of game could be a program-building moment.
Do I think the team deserves a better seed than that? Absolutely, yes. But if I were a coach in that locker room, I'd present such a situation not only as incentive, but as an opportunity.
This is a new way of looking at it that I had not really considered...that being said, I think I would still feel more comfortable as a 7 playing a 2 vs the potential 1 seed matchup as an 8. Almost exclusively because this year it seems as if the top 4 teams (Gonzaga, Baylor, Illinois, Michigan) are a decent cut above everyone else. I would feel much more comfortable playing an Iowa, Houston, Alabama, OSU, WVU, Arkansas, etc. (some of whom I think are a little overrated) vs one of the probable 1 seeds. Again, this is all fun conjecturing, as I think most of us would even be thrilled with just a first round win.